Nuclear power for Australia

Energy from atoms is the world's best option right now.

Submitted 16/08/2006 By trappleton Views 21760 Comments 5 Updated 28/08/2006


Photographer : Michal Brcak


Nuclear power is a frightening concept for many people. It conjures images of men in plastic jumpsuits, cement towers heaving clouds of who-knows-what into the sky, and workers scrambling to prevent a nuclear meltdown from killing thousands.

Now is the time to lay those fears to rest, because nuclear power is the answer for Australia’s energy and climate problems.

Safety first

One of the biggest concerns about nuclear power is safety. Many people recall the 1986 Chernobyl disaster in Ukraine, and worry about the same thing happening in a town near them. The meltdown was portrayed as catastrophic, and caused many nations to stop building nuclear plants, or even close down plants that were already operational.

The disaster was tragic, but the truth is, much as airplanes are to travel, nuclear power is one of the safest yet most-feared forms of energy production. In 1991, the National Cancer Institute surveyed families living near 62 nuclear facilities in the United States. The study found that there was no increased risk of getting cancer simply from living near a nuclear power plant.

A grand total of 54 deaths have been attributed to nuclear power worldwide, and all are from the Chernobyl disaster. No other meltdown, including the infamous Three Mile Island incident in the United States, has caused any deaths.

Compared to other forms of energy production, this is an outstanding record. Literally thousands of coal miners die worldwide every year due to accidents or mining-related disease. Mining for uranium, the radioactive fuel of nuclear power, has historically been linked to higher rates of lung cancer, though with proper ventilation systems and breathing masks, this risk can be alleviated.

Sustainable energy sources, such as hydroelectric power, are not entirely safe, either. For example, in 1975, the Banqiao Reservoir Dam in China was destroyed during a devastating storm, flooding nearby lowlands. More than 85,000 people died as a result—that’s more people than it would take to fill the Sydney Olympic Stadium. Is 54 beginning to sound like a small number?

More bang for your buck

Opponents of nuclear power commonly refer to sustainable or renewable energy sources, like wind power, as a viable energy alternative. While these are excellent supplementary power sources, they’re not yet developed enough to handle a country’s full energy load. Denmark uses wind power more than any other country right now, with 23% of its energy supplied by wind turbines; yet wind power still supplies less than 1% of the world’s energy.

This is partly due to the natural inefficiency of wind power, and similarly, other sustainable energy sources. Wind turbines, solar cells and hydroelectric power are all capable of capturing only a small fraction of the energy fed into them. They also require vast areas of land, dozens of square kilometres larger than a typical coal or nuclear plant would require—land that could otherwise be used for farming or housing.

Perhaps someday, renewable energy technology will come to the point where it can meet the requirements of high populations, but until then, it is merely a complement to a more complete solution.

Green and long-lasting

So exactly what does that giant “smokestack” belch into the atmosphere? Turns out it’s nothing more than harmless, non-radioactive water vapour. And it’s the only major emission from nuclear plants, offering a much cleaner alternative to coal power.

Radioactive waste is an important issue regarding nuclear power. The current solution involves burying the waste deep underground and leaving it there for thousands of years. Of course, this is far from the best solution, but it’s still cleaner than emitting radioactive coal ash directly into the air. In the meantime, scientists are researching ways to use waste by-products as fuel again, significantly cutting down on the harmful waste deposited into the earth.

While the supply of uranium isn’t “renewable” like solar or wind power, it’s an extremely common element. In fact, there are probably small amounts of it in your backyard! Scientists estimate that, depending on exactly how the uranium is used, there are potentially billions of years worth of it readily available to us.

With excellent safety records, very little harm to the environment, and effectiveness matched only by unclean coal plants, the question is no longer, “Should Australia go nuclear,” but instead, “Why aren’t we already?”

How do I know this?

McCarthy, J, ‘How long will nuclear energy last?’, Facts from Cohen and others, http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/cohen.html

Uranium Information Centre 2006, ‘Chernobyl accident’, Nuclear Issues Briefing Paper, March, http://www.uic.com.au/nip22.htm

National Cancer Institute, No Excess Mortality Risk Found in Counties with Nuclear Facilities, http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/...

Watkins, T, _The catastrophic dam failures
in China in August 1975_, http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/aug1975.htm

Wikipedia Online Encyclopaedia, Nuclear Power, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power

Wikipedia Online Encyclopaedia, Wind Power, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power

The Virtual Nuclear Tourist, Environmental effects of nuclear power, http://www.nucleartourist.com/basics/environ1.htm

Calvert, Dr. James B, Uranium, http://www.du.edu/~jcalvert/phys/uranium.htm

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© 2008. First published on actnow.com.au

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trappleton 03-Nov-2006

Grant – I’ve definitely warmed up a lot more to sustainable energy during my tenure here. I still think there’s an awful lot of work to be done, but now I realize that that work is getting done, in Australia especially. I do, however, think nuclear is still the best choice for baseline power.

As regards nuclear waste, it is a hazard – but I think it’s a case of "lesser of the two evils." We can either keep fossil fuel plants running until wind turbines and solar are up to the same level of productivity, or we can use nuclear in the interim. Additionally, scientists are making some progress in recycling used fuel in power plants again. I personally don’t foresee sustainable energy providing more than 40% of energy requirements within the next 50 years, although I could be off base with that one.

Vincenze – you're definitely right, water vapour is actually a greenhouse gas. But as you said, it doesn’t tend to stay long.

Good point on my old source – I should have used something more up-to-date. However, I believe there are significant errors with the estimates that we only have 50-75 years worth of uranium.

First of all, there is very little money and resources put into uranium exploration. Comparatively, uranium exploration today is roughly equivalent to the gas and oil exploration of 1900 – very, very little. So the truth is, we don’t really know exactly how much is available to us, because we simply haven’t been looking for it.

Uranium ore has nearly doubled in price lately. Some interpret this as a sign of depleted resources, that we are already running out. Actually, quite the contrary. As stated, we haven’t been discovering new uranium reserves, so we’ve been using uranium from old weapons stockpiles instead. Thoseare what’s running out.

Meanwhile, as the price of high-grade uranium rises, there will be more investment in research and technology regarding uranium mining – it becomes more profitable. More mining sites will be discovered, and lower-grade uranium ore sites will reopen. In fact, they already have been reopening as the weapons stockpiles have been lowering.

It helps that the cost of uranium is fairly negligible when calculating the overall price of nuclear power. This is due to most of the cost dealing with paying laborers, and the uranium ore costs about a tenth of a cent per kilowatt-hour.

Most “economically recoverable reserves” estimates fail to factor this in. In truth, the cost of uranium ore could rise from $40 per kilogram to $400 per kilogram, and the power bill would come to about one cent more expensive per kilowatt-hour.

Also, there is a type of nuclear reactor that is called a "fast-breeder" reactor, one that hasn’t had much chance to gain in popularity in this age when so few reactors are being built. However, due to the way this reactor operates, if it were to become the standard, each ton of uranium ore would be sixty times more efficient than it is now. In other words, it would last sixty times as long.

Finally, uranium isn't even the only fuel we could use in nuclear reactors. Thorium is another element that could be used in many reactors -- and it's three times as abundant as the already-very-abundant uranium.

I reckon we're set for a long, long time. Long enough to get our actual sustainable energy sources up and running as baseline power.

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Vincenze 01-Nov-2006

Hi,

Few thoughts:

Turns out it’s nothing more than harmless, non-radioactive water vapour.

Tiny clarification... water vapour is actually a greenhouse gas, though it tends not to stay in the atmosphere due to climate phenomena beyond my understanding, never the less it's still a GHG.

Scientists estimate that, depending on exactly how the uranium is used, there are potentially billions of years worth of it readily available to us

I noticed the report you site was from the eighties... here's http://vincenze.com/?p=119">a link to 2 more recent studies that put our world Uranium supplies at under 100 years.

cheers,

Vincenze.

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Ilone 20-Sep-2006

I would have to agree with both gyoung and hannah, nuclear power is not just 'harmless'



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Grant's Profile 28-Aug-2006

Hi Tom - this is a great post - very thought provoking...

One thing I thought might be worth mentioning is that although only 56 people are known to have died as a direct result of Chernobyl, the IAEA estimates that "as many as 9000 people among the approximately 6.6 million most highly exposed, may die from some form of cancer (one of the induced diseases)" - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_accident

That same Wikipedia entry suggests that "over 336,000 people" were evacuated or resettled - this might have been through mass-hysteria, but it might also explain why the directly attributable death toll so far has been so low. It's clear that Chernobyl also was a result of a number of issues with the reactor technology, safety standards etc.

Regarding your comments on renewables - while it is true that current technology is inefficient, they are rapidly advancing (despite a lack of government support and investment).

Solar concentrators are making some solid improvements, with holographic concentration promising at least 25% better efficiency, whilst also reducing cost: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2006/07/holographi... http://www.treehugger.com/files/2006/04/holographi...

And wind power can generate a lot more energy than it currently is. A recent report showed that wind resources worldwide could provide as much as 72-terrawatts - that's five times the world's energy needs - and Australia has at least one of the hotspots for sustained wind energy in Tasmania. http://www.wired.com/news/planet/0,2782,67600,00.html http://news-service.stanford.edu/news/2005/may25/w...

Additionally, vertical access wind-power technology is much more efficient, quieter, creates more energy with less wind speed and can be less problematic to birds: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2005/11/ultra-effe... http://www.hushenergy.com.au/
(that last link is to a company producing turbines developed by an Australian inventor)

All of this is to say that there are loads of developments underway that will see renewable energy become cheaper and more efficient. And in a matter of years not decades, which is just one of the government estimates for how long it will take to develop local nuclear capacity.

And that doesn't even look at the issue of waste management, which in my opinion can't just a case of "stick it in the ground, she'll be right", which seems to be the currently favoured approach.

What's required, whether it be nuclear or renewables, is a commitment at the federal government level to tax carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and set firm targets for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Doing so will send a clear signal to investors while at the same time making all CO2 reducing technologies more cost-competitive with coal - then businesses and investors will start to determine which technologies will be the best way forward.

Anyway - thanks again for a great post and for taking on an important and controversial debate.

Regards, Grant

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misshannah 17-Aug-2006



Nuclear waste stays radioactive for hundreds and thousands of years. Scientists have not yet solved this dilemma. Unitl they do then nuclear power is an irresponsible alternative.

Check this link out for more: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/campaigns/...

hannah

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